Game 1 didn’t just give TNT Tropang 5G an early series lead — it reshaped the tone of this Finals. What looked like a runaway turned into a nerve-wracking finish, and by the final buzzer, it was TNT’s composure that stood tallest over San Miguel’s trademark late push.
Now, with TNT up 1–0, Game 2 becomes a pressure game — especially for the Beermen.
For three quarters on Wednesday night, TNT dictated everything. Pace, spacing, ball movement — all of it favored the Tropang 5G as they carved out a 19-point lead and had San Miguel scrambling. Their depth showed early, with waves of contributors keeping the floor balanced and the Beermen out of rhythm.
But Finals basketball rarely follows a straight line.
San Miguel did what San Miguel does. The Beermen slowed the game down, turned the paint into a wrestling match, and leaned on June Mar Fajardo to grind their way back. Twice in the final seven minutes, they were within a single point — and suddenly, TNT’s early cushion meant nothing.
What separated Game 1, though, was TNT’s collective poise. There was no singular hero. Calvin Oftana and Brandon Ganuelas-Rosser answered momentum swings with timely buckets, Kelly Williams stabilized the offense with veteran decision-making, and Jordan Heading — despite battling illness — calmly iced the game at the line. Six TNT players in double figures underscored how balanced their attack was.
San Miguel, meanwhile, had enough chances to steal the opener. Missed opportunities late by Fajardo and Don Trollano proved costly, especially after defensive stops from Mo Tautua’a and Jericho Cruz briefly swung momentum back their way. The Beermen showed their championship DNA — but not enough finishing execution.
Heading into Game 2, the storylines flip slightly.
TNT will aim to clean up late-game execution and avoid letting another big lead evaporate. Their depth, ball movement, and ability to score by committee remain their biggest weapons — particularly with RR Pogoy still sidelined.
San Miguel’s task is more urgent. Down 0–1, the Beermen must convert their late pressure into results. Expect sharper half-court execution, heavier inside touches for Fajardo, and a renewed emphasis on limiting TNT’s secondary creators. If the Beermen can turn their fourth-quarter surge into a full-game presence, the series can swing quickly.
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Key Matchups
TNT’s depth vs. San Miguel’s star power
Six double-digit scorers won Game 1 for TNT. San Miguel needs its top guns to outweigh that balance.
Late-game execution
TNT survived crunch time once. San Miguel knows they let an opportunity slip.
Interior battle
Fajardo (24 points, 17 rebounds) was dominant again. The question is whether TNT can keep sending multiple bodies without giving up timely kick-outs.
Sportsbook Odds (approximate)
Moneyline
San Miguel Beermen: ~1.70
TNT Tropang 5G: ~2.05
Point Spread
San Miguel Beermen –2.5 (~1.88)
TNT Tropang 5G +2.5 (~1.96)
Total (Over/Under)
Over 192.5 (~1.90)
Under 192.5 (~1.92)
Prediction
San Miguel Beermen
Game 1 showed TNT can control stretches — but it also showed San Miguel is never truly out of a Finals game. With urgency on their side and clear areas to adjust, the Beermen are poised to respond. Expect a tighter, more physical contest where San Miguel’s experience finally translates into a complete 48-minute effort.
Best Bet
San Miguel Beermen –2.5
Down 0–1, San Miguel is unlikely to waste another close finish. Their ability to rebound from setbacks and tighten execution makes them a strong bounce-back play in Game 2.
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