FIBA Women’s World Cup Qualifiers: Gilas Pilipinas Women vs. Colombia — Game Preview, Predictions & Betting Odds

Gilas Pilipinas Women will seek redemption against Colombia after South Korea ended their World Cup bid, entering their final game of the 2026 FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup Qualifying Tournament still searching for a breakthrough win. With their hopes of advancing officially out of reach, the Filipinas now turn their attention to finishing their campaign on a high note.

Gilas heads into Tuesday’s matchup with a 0-4 record, highlighted by a difficult 105-74 loss to South Korea that sealed their elimination. Despite the result, the game showcased a bright spot in Kacey Dela Rosa, who delivered an impressive 26-point performance on 10-of-13 shooting, along with nine rebounds and three blocks. Her effort underscored the team’s potential even amid a challenging tournament run.

“I’ll take the lessons that I learned and apply them for my next games and tournaments,” Dela Rosa said.

She has not carried the load alone, as veteran guard Janine Pontejos has provided consistent scoring with 12 points per game, while Sumayah Sugapong has contributed 11.3 points per outing. However, team consistency—particularly on defense—has been a recurring issue, with opponents capitalizing on lapses.

South Korea’s outside shooting proved decisive in their previous game, as Leeseul Kang erupted for 24 points, knocking down eight of her team’s 19 three-pointers in a dominant offensive display.

Colombia enters the contest in a similar position, also holding a 0-4 record. With both teams eager to avoid a winless exit, the matchup presents a final opportunity for either side to salvage pride. Colombia will lean on Jenifer Muñoz, their leading scorer averaging eight points per game, to guide their offense.

Match: Gilas Pilipinas Women vs. Colombia
Event: 2026 FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup Qualifying Tournament
Date & Time: Tuesday, 9:00 p.m. (PHT)
Venue: Astroballe, Lyon, France

Head-to-Head Context

Both teams enter the game without a win in the tournament, making this a crucial battle to avoid finishing at the bottom of the standings. While there is limited recent head-to-head history between the two sides, their identical records set the stage for a tightly contested matchup.

Key Matchups & Storylines

Dela Rosa’s Continued Rise: After a breakout performance against South Korea, Dela Rosa will look to anchor Gilas on both ends of the floor.

Backcourt Leadership: Pontejos and Sugapong must provide stability and scoring to support the offense.

Defensive Adjustments: Limiting perimeter shooting and tightening rotations will be key after struggles in previous games.

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Predictions & Betting Odds

Most sportsbooks and prediction models slightly favor Colombia heading into the matchup:

Moneyline Odds:

Colombia has 1.72 as their odds while the Philippines stays at 2.05 (OKBET) indicating a narrow edge for the South American side based on recent form and scoring trends.

Probability Estimates: 

Several prediction platforms give Colombia roughly 53% to 57% chance to win, while the Philippines sits at around 43% to 48%, reflecting how closely matched the two winless teams are.

Given both teams’ 0-4 records and struggles throughout the tournament, this matchup is expected to be tightly contested. 

Colombia holds a slight statistical advantage, but Gilas Pilipinas Women could tilt the balance if Kacey Dela Rosa continues her strong form and the team improves defensively.

Predictions & Outlook

With both teams winless, the game is expected to be closely contested. Gilas Pilipinas Women may hold a slight edge if Dela Rosa maintains her form and the team improves its defensive execution.

While the stakes no longer include World Cup qualification, the importance of the match remains significant. A victory would provide a morale boost and a positive ending to an otherwise tough campaign.

What’s at Stake

For Gilas Pilipinas Women, this final game represents more than just a result—it is a chance to demonstrate growth, resilience, and competitiveness on the international stage. Ending the tournament with a win would offer a valuable confidence boost as the team looks ahead to future competitions.

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