EuroBasket 2025 – Preview, Champion Predictions, Odds per Team, Favorites, Dark Horses, and Outlook

With EuroBasket 2025 tipping off across Latvia, Finland, Cyprus, and Poland, the road to European basketball glory is stacked with superstar talent. Serbia enters as the clear favorite, led by Nikola Jokić, the three-time NBA MVP, alongside sharpshooter Bogdan Bogdanović and veteran playmaker Vasilije Micić. Germany, the reigning world champions, lean on Dennis Schröder and the versatile Wagner brothers from the Orlando Magic. France may be without Rudy Gobert and Victor Wembanyama but their solid core with other Olympic veterans is something to watch out for. Defending champions Spain rely on a mix of seasoned ACB veterans, while Greece has the unstoppable Giannis Antetokounmpo at its core. Meanwhile, Slovenia remains dangerous with Luka Dončić, one of the NBA’s most prolific scorers, determined to carry his nation deep into the knockout rounds. Add in hungry dark horses like Latvia, Lithuania, and Italy, and EuroBasket 2025 is set to be one of the most talent-packed tournaments in the event’s history. 

Top Favorites & Odds Overview

 1. Serbia

• Bookmaker odds: ~2.35 (BetLabel) 
• Implied probability: ~25–27% (European odds range 3.75–3.8) 
• Context: Serbia is widely seen as the strongest team, led by Nikola Jokić, Bogdan Bogdanović, and coach Svetislav Pešić. 

2. Germany

• Bookmaker odds: ~6.50 (BetLabel, SportyTrader) 
• Implied probability: ~15–17% (European odds around 4.5 – 1) 
• Strengths: Current FIBA World Champions with a balanced squad of Dennis Schröder, Franz Wagner, and more. 

3. France

• Bookmaker odds: ~9.00 (BetLabel); ~7.5 (Betzillion) 
• Context: Even without stars like Wembanyama and Gobert, they retain depth with emerging talents. 

4. Greece

• Bookmaker odds: ~10.00 (BetLabel); ~11.0 (Betzillion) 
• Key player: Giannis Antetokounmpo is their focal point. 

5. Spain

• Bookmaker odds: ~11.00 (BetLabel); ~15.0 (Betzillion) 
• Status: Defending champion but in a transitional phase with injuries and limited NBA experience. 

Additional Notable Contenders

• Latvia: ~15.00 odds. 
• Lithuania, Italy, Slovenia, Turkey: In the 18–30 range—each a possible dark horse. 
• Long shots: Finland, Israel, Great Britain, Poland, Sweden, Czech Republic, Belgium, Portugal, Georgia, Iceland, Montenegro, Cyprus, Bosnia & Herzegovina all around ~100.00 odds. 

Expert Predictions & Context

• Ball in Europe: Highlights Serbia, Germany, and France as early frontrunners, with Spain, Greece, Slovenia, and Italy as potential spoilers. 
• BettingExpert & Betting Analysis: Focus on Serbia, Germany, and France as key contenders; some value may lie with underdogs like Greece or Slovenia. 
• SportyTrader: Picks Serbia as the champion. FanDuel odds also reflect a steep drop-off beyond the top 3–4 teams. 

Summary Table

Final Thought

Prediction: Barring injuries or upsets, Serbia stands the best chance for gold. But Germany looks like the strongest challenger, with France and Greece also in the mix. Teams like Latvia, Lithuania, or Slovenia could shock the field.

Here are the #EuroBasket 2025 standings so far Which nation surprised you the most? pic.twitter.com/wcjAKdiJXS

— BasketNews (@BasketNews_com) August 31, 2025

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