NBA Finals 2025: Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 6, Betting Odds & Prediction

The 2025 NBA Finals reaches a fever pitch on Friday, June 20 (PST), as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face the Indiana Pacers in a pivotal Game 6. 

With the Thunder holding a 3-2 series lead after their impressive Game 5 victory, they are now just one win away from clinching their first-ever NBA championship. For the Pacers, it’s do-or-die, win at home and force a decisive Game 7, or see their incredible season come to an end.

Series So Far:

This Finals has been a back-and-forth affair, with neither team truly establishing dominance. The Pacers took Game 1 in Oklahoma City, only for the Thunder to respond decisively in Game 2. Indiana then defended home court in Game 3, but OKC bounced back with a gritty Game 4 road win to even the series. 

Most recently, the Thunder’s explosive offense, led by a scorching Jalen Williams and consistent Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, proved too much for the Pacers in Game 5, giving them the crucial series lead.

Key Storylines for Game 6:

• Tyrese Haliburton’s Health: The biggest question mark heading into Game 6 revolves around Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton, who appeared limited in Game 5 due to a leg injury. His offensive struggles were evident, finishing with just four points. The Pacers’ high-octane offense relies heavily on Haliburton’s playmaking and scoring, and his ability to return to form will be paramount for Indiana’s chances. If he’s not at 100%, Pascal Siakam and Myles Turner will need to shoulder an even heavier load.
• Thunder’s Offensive Firepower: Oklahoma City’s young core has shown remarkable composure and offensive prowess throughout the series. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to be a consistent force, averaging over 32 points in the Finals, while Jalen Williams exploded for a playoff career-high 40 points in Game 5. The Thunder’s ability to generate offense from multiple sources, coupled with their relentless attack, makes them incredibly difficult to stop.
• Home Court Advantage for Indiana: The Pacers have been a formidable force at Gainbridge Fieldhouse this postseason. They will be looking to feed off their passionate home crowd, who will undoubtedly be at a fever pitch, to fuel a comeback. Indiana has already proven they can win elimination games at home, and they’ll need that same resilience in Game 6.
• The Pressure Cooker: For the Thunder, the pressure of closing out a championship will be immense. While they hold the advantage, finishing a series, especially on the road in the Finals, is often the hardest win to get. For the Pacers, every possession will be played with desperation, knowing their season hangs in the balance.
  
  

  The Thunder are one win away from the title while the Pacers are trying to keep their championship hopes alive.

  NBA insiders break down everything to watch for in Game 6 https://t.co/J3JGqCYgXx

  — NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) June 18, 2025

Betting Odds and Predictions:

The betting markets reflect the Thunder’s strong position. Oklahoma City is currently favored by 6.5 points on the road, with the over/under for total points set at 222.5. The Thunder’s money line of -258 also indicates a high probability of victory. Many sports analysts and betting experts are leaning towards the Thunder closing it out tomorrow, especially given Haliburton’s compromised health.

Prediction:

While the Pacers will undoubtedly fight with desperation on their home court, the combination of the Thunder’s red-hot star power, defensive tenacity, and the significant injury concerns surrounding Tyrese Haliburton makes an Indiana victory an improbable outcome. Expect Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams to continue their offensive onslaught, while the Thunder’s defense capitalizes on Haliburton’s limitations.

The most likely scenario is a hard-fought game that ultimately sees the Oklahoma City Thunder emerge victorious, clinching the 2025 NBA Championship in Game 6. They have the talent, momentum, and favorable circumstances to finish the job tonight and bring a long-awaited title to Oklahoma City.

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