PBA Finals: TNT Tropang 5G vs. San Miguel Beermen — Game 5 Preview, Predictions & Betting Odds

From a crushing slip-up, TNT Tropang 5G didn’t just respond — they roared back.

Game 4 at the MOA Arena flipped the Finals on its head, as TNT delivered a commanding 110–87 demolition of San Miguel Beer to erase the sting of their late collapse in Game 3 and level the series at two games apiece. What was shaping up as a Beermen takeover has now reset into a best-of-three showdown — with momentum suddenly swinging.

Game 5 at the Ynares Sports Center in Antipolo becomes the pivot point of the Finals. 

Series standing: Tied 2–2

How Game 4 Changed Everything

After watching a late CJ Perez barrage steal Game 3 away, TNT made sure there would be no sequel.

From the opening minutes, the Tropang 5G played with urgency and edge, blitzing San Miguel with pace, spacing, and relentless perimeter pressure. Calvin Oftana was the face of that turnaround, exploding for a conference-high 29 points, burying five triples and repeatedly punishing defensive lapses.

Unlike the tight, grind-heavy contests earlier in the series, Game 4 never truly slowed down. TNT dictated terms from start to finish, building separation early and never allowing San Miguel to settle into its preferred half-court rhythm.

Even June Mar Fajardo’s night — meant to celebrate his historic 13th Best Player of the Conference award — became symbolic of TNT’s response. The Beermen star drew attention as usual, but the flow and control of the game belonged entirely to the Tropang 5G.

Series Snapshot After Four Games

The Finals now feel wide open again.

• TNT has proven it can overwhelm San Miguel when its offense flows freely and its shooters find rhythm.
• San Miguel still owns the interior advantage and the experience edge — but Game 4 exposed how vulnerable they can be when forced to chase.

The contrast is clear:

• TNT thrives in speed, movement, and shared scoring.
• San Miguel prefers patience, power, and precision.

Game 5 will decide which identity bends — and which breaks.

Game 5 Storylines

TNT: Carry the Momentum

The challenge for TNT is consistency.

Can they replicate the defensive energy and shot-making that fueled their Game 4 blowout? Oftana remains the barometer, but continued contributions from Jordan Heading, Kelly Williams, and the bench will be crucial — especially if San Miguel makes defensive adjustments.

Just as important: closing discipline. TNT has shown both ends of the spectrum in this series.

San Miguel: Reassert Control

Expect a response.

San Miguel rarely absorbs a loss like Game 4 quietly. Look for the Beermen to slow the tempo, pound the ball inside, and reestablish physical dominance — particularly on the glass. The emphasis will be on preventing TNT’s early rhythm and turning Game 5 into a possession-by-possession fight.

Championship teams are often judged by their bounce-back games — and this is one of those moments.

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PIVOTAL Game 5.

Anong koponan ang mas lalapit sa

January 30 – FRIDAY – 7:30 PM at Ynares Center, Antipolo

TNT Tropang 5G (2) vs. SAN MIGUEL Beermen (2)#PBA50#PBA50LID pic.twitter.com/yA234phDoi

— PBA (@pbaconnect) January 29, 2026

Key Matchups

Perimeter shooting vs. interior power

Oftana and TNT’s wings against Fajardo-led interior pressure.

Tempo control

If TNT runs, they dictate. If San Miguel slows it down, they regain command.

Mental edge

Game 5 winners in tied Finals often seize the series psychologically.

Betting Odds (from OKBet)

TNT Tropang 5G

With confidence restored and the series reset, TNT enters Game 5 playing freer basketball. If they can once again impose tempo and knock down perimeter shots early, they have a real chance to seize control of the Finals for the first time since Game 1.

San Miguel will adjust — but momentum matters, and right now, it’s wearing black and gold.

Best Bet

TNT Tropang 5G +2.5

In what shapes up as a tight, tactical Game 5, TNT’s renewed rhythm and confidence make them a strong play to at least keep it within one possession — if not take the lead outright.

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